November 13, 2014

Euro zone industry output rises slightly in September

(Reuters) - Output at euro zone factories rose in September, lifted by machinery and energy, but the increase was slightly less than expected and highlighted how few cars and televisions Europeans are buying as the recovery falters.

Industrial output in the 18 countries sharing the euro rose 0.6 percent in September from the previous month, a partial reversal of the 1.4 fall in August, the European Union's statistics office Eurostat said on Wednesday.

Economists polled by Reuters expected factory output, two-thirds of which is generated by Germany, France and Italy, to rise 0.7 percent in September.

Production of so-called durable consumer goods, including televisions and fridges, fell by 2.6 percent, the biggest monthly fall since August 2011.

The euro zone's economy is expected to grow just 0.8 percent this year after two years of recession, as the hangover from the bloc's debt and banking crisis, along with the crisis in Ukraine, continues to drag on the creation of wealth.

Still, production of machinery used to make other goods, an indicator of future business, rose 2.9 percent in September, although the drop in August was almost double that reading.

If production of such capital goods continues to increase, that could support expectations of a modest recovery led by Germany, Europe's largest economy. France's industrial output barely grew in August, while Italy's dropped.

"The industrial production data are consistent with our expectation that Italy has remained in recession in the third quarter and will not exit from it before the first quarter of next year, at best," said Fabio Fois, an economist at Barclays.

Eurostat will release euro zone gross domestic product data for the third quarter on Friday, which will give a sense of the fragility of the recovery.

On an annual basis, industrial production in September also rose 0.6 percent, but durable consumer goods production was again weak.

Even with a stronger recovery expected in 2016, the European Commission sees unemployment remaining high, meaning households are likely not to feel any sense of a recovery soon.

reuters.com

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