September 13, 2013

Eurozone industrial output slumps in July

LONDON: Any hopes that the troubled eurozone economy was poised for a solid rebound from recession were under threat of being dashed Thursday by figures showing the industrial sector sliding into reverse during July.


Eurostat reported that industrial output, which includes everything from the making of high-end Mercedes cars to oil & gas extraction, slumped 1.5 per cent in July from the previous month.

The decline, which followed a 0.6 per cent advance in June, was much bigger than expected _ the consensus of analysts' forecasts was for a far more modest decline of around 0.3 per cent.

The monthly fall took the annual rate of decline down to 2.1 per cent from the 0.4 per cent recorded in June.

The July retreat, which was fuelled by a 2.3 per cent drop monthly decline in Europe's heavyweight economy, Germany, is also likely to stoke fears over the state of the eurozone economy following its modest rebound from recession in the second quarter.

Figures last month confirmed that economic growth across the 17 European Union countries that use the euro grew by 0.3 per cent in the second quarter following a six-quarter recession, the longest it has experienced since the single currency was launched in 1999.

``July's fall means that, even if production posted monthly rise of around 1 per cent in August and September, it would still roughly stagnate in Q3 as a whole,'' said Ben May, European economist at Capital Economics.

``The numbers provide an early indication that the eurozone economy is unlikely to have gathered more momentum in Q3 and may even have lost some steam,'' he added.

Though the key hurdle facing Europe's manufacturers _ the region's debt crisis _ has abated over the past year following the European Central Bank's offer to buy up unlimited amounts of government bonds, manufacturers still face a tough time from spending cuts in countries such as Greece and Spain, tight credit conditions and high unemployment.

``This is particularly true of the southern periphery eurozone countries, but France and the Netherlands also continue to face significant headwinds, despite the former exiting recession during the second quarter,'' said Howard Archer, chief European economist at IHS Global Insight.

``Meanwhile, global growth is muted and fragile, which threatens to limit the upside for eurozone exports,'' he added.

Following the global financial crisis that was largely blamed on an over-reliance on the financial sector, particularly in the United States, a number of countries around the world are seeking to boost their manufacturing sectors.

France, for example, is one. Its Socialist government has made strengthening industry a priority since coming to office in 2012, and on Thursday it pitched 34 projects _ including a driverless car and an electric plane _ that it hopes will save the sector. Analysts though have said government-driven projects often struggle in the marketplace.

``We have lost 750,000 industrial jobs in 10 years. We have the weakest industrial base of the five greatest powers in Europe. We have to rebuild. We have to rebuild on our assets,'' Arnaud Montebourg, the re-industrialization minister, told Europe 1 radio.

indiatimes.com

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